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Suns vs. Warriors

● quote 15s ago
Sports→BasketballCloses: about 17 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $80.2KEvent: Suns vs. Warriors

Indicative prices · 15s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

38.5¢
Suns
61.5¢
Warriors
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection29Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:30 trades$31.7K trackedsource coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 32 min agoofficial metadata 5 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Suns · $1.6K net·2 wallets·$1.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYWarriors$8.1K@ 62¢·Greedo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Warriors pressure: $9.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$9.3K
6h
−$11.7K
tracked
$31.7K

2 verified profitable wallets: Suns · $1.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 32 minutes old.
  • •Less than 17h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Warriors or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-03 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the Suns win, the market will resolve to "Suns".

•If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for November 2 at 10:00PM ET: If the Suns win, the market will resolve to "Suns". If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $1.8K gross
0x73c8…e1b12 linked markets · $202 gross
mooseborzoi2 linked markets · $111 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Suns; negative values favor Warriors. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hWarriors · $9.3K
6hWarriors · $11.7K
24hWarriors · $12.0K

Suns price VWAP

Volume-weighted Suns price. Warriors fills are converted to the complementary Suns probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current38.5¢
VWAP 24h37.34¢▲ above by 1.2pp
VWAP 7d37.34¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Suns price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$179
35¢
← now
$31.5K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

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Spread: Warriors (-9.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.