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Spread: Coastal Carolina (-6.5)

Sports→American FootballCloses: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $15.7KEvent: Old Dominion vs. Coastal Carolina

Polymarket indicative prices · 10 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

52.5¢
Coastal Carolina
47.5¢
Old Dominion
—
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection30Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:8 trades$19.3K tracked13% 🐋source coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 10 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYOld Dominion$12.5K@ 48¢·justwins

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Old Dominion pressure: $5.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$5.9K
6h
−$5.9K
tracked
$19.3K

1 verified profitable wallet: Coastal Carolina · $14 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Old Dominion or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-07 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Coastal Carolina" if Coastal Carolina win the game by 7 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Old Dominion".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for November 7 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Coastal Carolina" if Coastal Carolina win the game by 7 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Old Dominion". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
mooseborzoi4 linked markets · $71.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Coastal Carolina; negative values favor Old Dominion. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hOld Dominion · $5.9K
6hOld Dominion · $5.9K
24hOld Dominion · $5.9K

Coastal Carolina price VWAP

Volume-weighted Coastal Carolina price. Old Dominion fills are converted to the complementary Coastal Carolina probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current52.5¢
VWAP 24h51.99¢▲ above by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d51.99¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Coastal Carolina price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$19.3K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYOld Dominion$12.5K@ 48.0¢
justwins0xa2cc…0cbc
🐋—3 minutes ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Old Dominion vs. Coastal Carolina: O/U 45.5
47.5¢$76.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Old Dominion vs. Coastal Carolina: O/U 43.5
55.5¢$47.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Coastal Carolina (-7.5)
46.5¢$30.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Coastal Carolina (-5.5)
—$161priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Old Dominion vs. Coastal Carolina
31.0¢$3priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Old Dominion (-20.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Old Dominion (-14.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Old Dominion (-16.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

justwinsOld Dominion$12.5K
BUY VWAP 48.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.