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Swiss Indoors Basel: Yannick Hanfmann vs Jan-Lennard Struff

● quote 536 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 5 daysLiquidity: $75.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $161.8KEvent: Swiss Indoors Basel: Yannick Hanfmann vs Jan-Lennard Struff

Indicative prices · 536 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.1¢
Yannick Hanfmann
99.9¢
Jan-Lennard Struff
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets32Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution26Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:68 trades$61.9K trackedsource coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 549 min agoofficial metadata 540 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Jan-Lennard Struff · $3.8K net·7 wallets·$11.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJan-Lennard Struff$8.0K@ 85¢·UpTheBlues

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$61.9K

7 verified profitable wallets: Jan-Lennard Struff · $3.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 536 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 549 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 540 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-03 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Yannick Hanfmann and Jan-Lennard Struff in the Swiss Indoors Basel, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yannick Hanfmann' if Yannick Hanfmann advances against Jan-Lennard Struff. This market will resolve to 'Jan-Lennard Struff' if Jan-Lennard Struff advances against Yannick Hanfmann. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
UNEB3154s4f2512 linked markets · $229 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Jan-Lennard Struff10h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Jan-Lennard Struff@ 87.0¢10h ago
15m CONFIRMED +12.3pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Yannick Hanfmann DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $11.7K → $949 · 50s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Yannick Hanfmann; negative values favor Jan-Lennard Struff. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYannick Hanfmann · $0
6hYannick Hanfmann · $0
24hJan-Lennard Struff · $10.9K

Yannick Hanfmann price VWAP

Volume-weighted Yannick Hanfmann price. Jan-Lennard Struff fills are converted to the complementary Yannick Hanfmann probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h21.79¢▼ below by 21.7pp
VWAP 7d23.23¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Yannick Hanfmann price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$9.6K
40¢
$14.7K
35¢
$420
30¢
$0
25¢
$2.1K
20¢
$3
15¢
$24.2K
10¢
$2.0K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$12.8K

VPOC = 15¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Hanfmann vs. Struff: Match O/U 22.5
—$5.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Jan-Lennard Struff (-1.5) vs Yannick Hanfmann (+1.5)
—$1.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Hanfmann vs. Struff: Match O/U 23.5
—$551priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Jan-Lennard Struff (-0.5) vs Yannick Hanfmann (+0.5)
—$181priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Yannick Hanfmann vs. Jan-Lennard Struff: Total Sets O/U 2.5
—$176priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Yannick Hanfmann vs Jan-Lennard Struff
—$59priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Hanfmann vs. Struff: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Hanfmann vs. Struff: Match O/U 21.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

UpTheBluesJan-Lennard Struff$19.4K
BUY VWAP 84.90¢·7 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.