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Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $58.3KEvent: Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

74.5¢
Nemiga
25.5¢
Aurora Gaming
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection59Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets35Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority62Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 83%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:52 trades$19.8K trackedsource coverage 32%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Aurora Gaming · $2.7K net·5 wallets·$7.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAurora Gaming$4.0K@ 45¢·gggjajnsnn

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Aurora Gaming SETUP
What the tape says

Aurora Gaming pressure: $11.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$11.1K
6h
−$10.6K
tracked
$19.8K

5 verified profitable wallets: Aurora Gaming · $2.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 83% · priority 62

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Aurora Gaming or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-26 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Nemiga" if Nemiga win Map 1 against Aurora Gaming.

•This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 1 against Nemiga.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between Nemiga and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nemiga" if Nemiga win Map 1 against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 1 against Nemiga. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 9, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 26, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Mooseborzoiii2 linked markets · $141.2K gross
aaaa2983 linked markets · $7.7K gross
42178933674512 linked markets · $7.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Nemiga UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $768 → $831 · 35s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Nemiga; negative values favor Aurora Gaming. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAurora Gaming · $11.1K
6hAurora Gaming · $10.6K
24hAurora Gaming · $10.5K

Nemiga price VWAP

Volume-weighted Nemiga price. Aurora Gaming fills are converted to the complementary Nemiga probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current74.5¢
VWAP 24h46.14¢▲ above by 28.4pp
VWAP 7d46.14¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Nemiga price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
← now
$496
65¢
$1.0K
60¢
$1.1K
55¢
$4.6K
50¢
$1.6K
45¢
$70
40¢
$2.1K
35¢
$6.4K
30¢
$2.3K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
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Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner
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Games Total: O/U 2.5
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Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs Nemiga (+3.5)
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Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs Nemiga (+3.5)
46.5¢$250priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
50.0¢$10priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.