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Swiss Indoors Basel: Stan Wawrinka vs Jiri Lehecka

● quote 540 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $200.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $113.8KEvent: Swiss Indoors Basel: Stan Wawrinka vs Jiri Lehecka

Indicative prices · 540 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.1¢
Stan Wawrinka
99.9¢
Jiri Lehecka
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:108 trades$45.1K trackedsource coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 542 min agoofficial metadata 543 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Jiri Lehecka · $22.8K net·9 wallets·$22.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJiri Lehecka$8.0K@ 89¢·0x246b…fb5b

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$45.1K

9 verified profitable wallets: Jiri Lehecka · $22.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 540 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 542 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 543 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-03 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Stan Wawrinka and Jiri Lehecka in the Swiss Indoors Basel, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stan Wawrinka' if Stan Wawrinka advances against Jiri Lehecka. This market will resolve to 'Jiri Lehecka' if Jiri Lehecka advances against Stan Wawrinka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x341d…29952 linked markets · $15 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Jiri Lehecka UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $101.0K → $5.0K · 34s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Stan Wawrinka; negative values favor Jiri Lehecka. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hStan Wawrinka · $0
6hStan Wawrinka · $0
24hJiri Lehecka · $25.9K

Stan Wawrinka price VWAP

Volume-weighted Stan Wawrinka price. Jiri Lehecka fills are converted to the complementary Stan Wawrinka probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h6.55¢▼ below by 6.5pp
VWAP 7d7.84¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Stan Wawrinka price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$13.0K
10¢
$9.9K
5¢
$9.0K
0¢
← now
$19.3K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.