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Swiss Indoors Basel: Jerome Kym vs Arthur Rinderknech

● quote 976 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $181.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $320.4KEvent: Swiss Indoors Basel: Jerome Kym vs Arthur Rinderknech

Indicative prices · 976 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.9¢
Jerome Kym
1.0¢
Arthur Rinderknech
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets37Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 58%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:95 trades$105.9K trackedsource coverage 33%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 979 min agoofficial metadata 979 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Jerome Kym · $78 net·5 wallets·$14.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJerome Kym$8.0K@ 54¢·UpTheBlues

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$105.9K

5 verified profitable wallets: Jerome Kym · $78 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 58% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 976 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 979 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 979 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-03 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jerome Kym and Arthur Rinderknech in the Swiss Indoors Basel, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jerome Kym' if Jerome Kym advances against Arthur Rinderknech. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Rinderknech' if Arthur Rinderknech advances against Jerome Kym. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Jerome Kym@ 98.0¢17h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Jerome Kym@ 75.0¢18h ago
15m INVALIDATED -9.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Arthur Rinderknech DOWN 9.0pp · near-book depth $28.6K → $6.3K · 16s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jerome Kym; negative values favor Arthur Rinderknech. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJerome Kym · $0
6hJerome Kym · $0
24hJerome Kym · $51.9K

Jerome Kym price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jerome Kym price. Arthur Rinderknech fills are converted to the complementary Jerome Kym probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h63.54¢▲ above by 36.4pp
VWAP 7d63.01¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Jerome Kym price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$18.5K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$6.7K
70¢
$3.4K
65¢
$2.5K
60¢
$628
55¢
$27.1K
50¢
$51.0K
45¢
$1.5K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set 2 Winner: Jerome Kym vs Arthur Rinderknech
—$652priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Jerome Kym (-0.5) vs Arthur Rinderknech (+0.5)
—$484priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jerome Kym vs. Arthur Rinderknech: Total Sets O/U 2.5
—$204priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Jerome Kym (-1.5) vs Arthur Rinderknech (+1.5)
—$186priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kym vs. Rinderknech: Match O/U 23.5
—$45priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kym vs. Rinderknech: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kym vs. Rinderknech: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kym vs. Rinderknech: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

UpTheBluesJerome Kym$40.2K
BUY VWAP 67.66¢·23 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.