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Seoul: Marin Cilic vs Zhizhen Zhang

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 8 daysLiquidity: $106.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $221.5KEvent: Seoul: Marin Cilic vs Zhizhen Zhang

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

70.5¢
Marin Cilic
29.5¢
Zhizhen Zhang
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection20Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets56Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority61Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:148 trades$72.9K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 33%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 9 min agoofficial metadata 27s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Marin Cilic · $18.8K net·8 wallets(1🐋)·$33.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMarin Cilic$19.1K@ 62¢·Woaifacai

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Zhizhen Zhang SETUP
What the tape says

Zhizhen Zhang pressure: $14.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$14.9K
6h
+$6.8K
tracked
$72.9K

8 verified profitable wallets: Marin Cilic · $18.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 73% · priority 61

Since latest large flow: -16.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Zhizhen Zhang or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-03 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Marin Cilic and Zhizhen Zhang in the Seoul, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marin Cilic' if Marin Cilic advances against Zhizhen Zhang. This market will resolve to 'Zhizhen Zhang' if Zhizhen Zhang advances against Marin Cilic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Zhizhen Zhang@ 46.0¢14m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Marin Cilic1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Marin Cilic@ 61.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -28.0pp1h INVALIDATED -5.0pp
Latest book event: Zhizhen Zhang DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $3.8K → $12.5K · 15s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Marin Cilic; negative values favor Zhizhen Zhang. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hZhizhen Zhang · $14.9K
6hMarin Cilic · $6.8K
24hMarin Cilic · $6.8K

Marin Cilic price VWAP

Volume-weighted Marin Cilic price. Zhizhen Zhang fills are converted to the complementary Marin Cilic probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current70.5¢
VWAP 24h55.77¢▲ above by 14.7pp
VWAP 7d55.77¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Marin Cilic price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
← now
$0
65¢
$8.2K
60¢
$36.7K
55¢
$7.9K
50¢
$1.7K
45¢
$7.7K
40¢
$1.6K
35¢
$4
30¢
$9.1K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMarin Cilic$19.1K@ 61.6¢
Woaifacai0x9b89…4244
🐋—about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Cilic vs. Zhang: Match O/U 22.5
99.95¢$90priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Marin Cilic (-2.5) vs Zhizhen Zhang (+2.5)
50.0¢$16priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Cilic vs. Zhang: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.45¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Cilic vs. Zhang: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.45¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Cilic vs. Zhang: Match O/U 23.5
99.95¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Marin Cilic vs. Zhizhen Zhang: Total Sets O/U 2.5
99.55¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Cilic vs. Zhang: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
0.45¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Marin Cilic vs Zhizhen Zhang
99.6¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

WoaifacaiMarin Cilic$24.9K
BUY VWAP 61.66¢·3 fills
UpTheBluesZhizhen Zhang$22.8K
BUY VWAP 51.29¢·31 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.