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Guayaquil: Gonzalo Bueno vs Alex Barrena

● quote 400 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 5 daysLiquidity: $128.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $125.8KEvent: Guayaquil: Gonzalo Bueno vs Alex Barrena

Indicative prices · 400 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.9¢
Gonzalo Bueno
0.1¢
Alex Barrena
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets39Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 56%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:42 trades$30.7K trackedsource coverage 24%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 425 min agoofficial metadata 400 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Gonzalo Bueno · $8.0K net·3 wallets·$20.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYGonzalo Bueno$5.4K@ 80¢·0x076d…8d4c

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$30.7K

3 verified profitable wallets: Gonzalo Bueno · $8.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 56% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 400 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 425 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 400 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-02 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Gonzalo Bueno and Alex Barrena in the Guayaquil, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gonzalo Bueno' if Gonzalo Bueno advances against Alex Barrena. This market will resolve to 'Alex Barrena' if Alex Barrena advances against Gonzalo Bueno. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Gonzalo Bueno UP 2.5pp · near-book depth $9.2K → $1.1K · 12s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Gonzalo Bueno; negative values favor Alex Barrena. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGonzalo Bueno · $0
6hGonzalo Bueno · $0
24hGonzalo Bueno · $12.3K

Gonzalo Bueno price VWAP

Volume-weighted Gonzalo Bueno price. Alex Barrena fills are converted to the complementary Gonzalo Bueno probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h84.02¢▲ above by 15.9pp
VWAP 7d83.99¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Gonzalo Bueno price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$2.2K
90¢
$8.2K
85¢
$3.3K
80¢
$11.5K
75¢
$3.8K
70¢
$0
65¢
$445
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$1.1K
40¢
$151
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$7
20¢
$46
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 80¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Game Spread: Alex Barrena (-1.5) vs Gonzalo Bueno (+1.5)
—$999priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Bueno vs. Barrena: Match O/U 22.5
—$10priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Bueno vs. Barrena: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Gonzalo Bueno vs. Alex Barrena: Total Sets O/U 2.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Bueno vs. Barrena: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Gonzalo Bueno vs Alex Barrena
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Bueno vs. Barrena: Match O/U 23.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Gonzalo Bueno (-1.5) vs Alex Barrena (+1.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x076d…8d4cGonzalo Bueno$11.1K
BUY VWAP 79.96¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.