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Pan Pacific Open: Moyuka Uchijima vs Elise Mertens

● quote 39 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 8 daysLiquidity: $254.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $261.4KEvent: Pan Pacific Open: Moyuka Uchijima vs Elise Mertens

Indicative prices · 39 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.5¢
Moyuka Uchijima
99.9¢
Elise Mertens
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly6Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets88Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 68%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:66 trades$191.7K tracked8% 🐋source coverage 73%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 59 min agoofficial metadata 39 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Elise Mertens · $121.6K net·9 wallets(3🐋)·$138.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYElise Mertens$38.0K@ 94¢·Woaifacai

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$349
6h
−$165.6K
tracked
$191.7K

9 verified profitable wallets: Elise Mertens · $121.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 68% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 39 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 59 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 39 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-03 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Moyuka Uchijima and Elise Mertens in the Pan Pacific Open, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Moyuka Uchijima' if Moyuka Uchijima advances against Elise Mertens. This market will resolve to 'Elise Mertens' if Elise Mertens advances against Moyuka Uchijima. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Moyuka Uchijima; negative values favor Elise Mertens. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMoyuka Uchijima · $349
6hElise Mertens · $165.6K
24hElise Mertens · $165.6K

Moyuka Uchijima price VWAP

Volume-weighted Moyuka Uchijima price. Elise Mertens fills are converted to the complementary Moyuka Uchijima probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.5¢
VWAP 24h3.14¢▼ below by 2.6pp
VWAP 7d3.14¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Moyuka Uchijima price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$6.2K
10¢
$1.5K
5¢
$38.8K
0¢
← now
$145.2K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYElise Mertens$11.9K@ 98.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYElise Mertens$28.4K@ 98.0¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYElise Mertens$11.4K@ 98.0¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYElise Mertens$15.0K@ 98.0¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYElise Mertens$38.0K@ 93.71¢
Woaifacai0x9b89…4244
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set Handicap: Elise Mertens (-1.5) vs Moyuka Uchijima (+1.5)
—$306priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Moyuka Uchijima vs. Elise Mertens: Total Sets O/U 2.5
—$180priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Elise Mertens (-5.5) vs Moyuka Uchijima (+5.5)
—$94priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Moyuka Uchijima vs Elise Mertens
—$59priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Uchijima vs. Mertens: Match O/U 23.5
—$31priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Uchijima vs. Mertens: Match O/U 22.5
—$3priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Uchijima vs. Mertens: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Uchijima vs. Mertens: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

FlaznorpElise Mertens$73.3K
BUY VWAP 97.98¢·7 fills
WoaifacaiElise Mertens$38.0K
BUY VWAP 93.71¢·1 fill
UpTheBluesElise Mertens$30.3K
BUY VWAP 98.59¢·6 fills
0x2c33…0563Elise Mertens$11.9K
BUY VWAP 98.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.