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Kings vs. Pelicans

● quote 19s ago
Sports→BasketballCloses: about 11 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $60.9KEvent: Kings vs. Pelicans

Indicative prices · 19s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

32.5¢
Kings
67.5¢
Pelicans
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 83%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:34 trades$19.7K trackedsource coverage 32%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 45s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Pelicans · $8.1K net·3 wallets·$8.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKings$5.2K@ 33¢·peepeepooppoop

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$203
6h
+$5.4K
tracked
$19.7K

3 verified profitable wallets: Pelicans · $8.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 83% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 11h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-30 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the Kings win, the market will resolve to "Kings".

•If the Pelicans win, the market will resolve to "Pelicans".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 29 at 8:00PM ET: If the Kings win, the market will resolve to "Kings". If the Pelicans win, the market will resolve to "Pelicans". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
takeormake3 linked markets · $7.7K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $3.8K gross
quavoo3 linked markets · $2.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Kings; negative values favor Pelicans. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKings · $203
6hKings · $5.4K
24hPelicans · $3.7K

Kings price VWAP

Volume-weighted Kings price. Pelicans fills are converted to the complementary Kings probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current32.5¢
VWAP 24h32.99¢▼ below by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d32.99¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Kings price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
← now
$19.7K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Kings vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5
49.5¢$15.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kings vs. Pelicans: O/U 238.5
44.5¢$13.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
56.0¢$6.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Pelicans (-9.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kings vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kings vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Pelicans (-34.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kings vs. Pelicans: O/U 224.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.