PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Japan Women's Open: Mary Stoiana vs Katerina Siniakova

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $171.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $370.9KEvent: Japan Women's Open: Mary Stoiana vs Katerina Siniakova
0.1¢
Mary Stoiana
100.0¢
Katerina Siniakova
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection75Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets90Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 77%💡 11 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:95 trades$174.9K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 48%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 16 min agoofficial metadata 26s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Katerina Siniakova · $36.7K net·11 wallets·$40.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKaterina Siniakova$72.2K@ 100¢·c4a759e5c9350491AF61646f2c4A46

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Katerina Siniakova pressure: $130.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$130.4K
6h
−$164.3K
tracked
$174.9K

11 verified profitable wallets: Katerina Siniakova · $36.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 77% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +14.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 16 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 14.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Katerina Siniakova or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-30 05:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Mary Stoiana and Katerina Siniakova in the Japan Women's Open, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mary Stoiana' if Mary Stoiana advances against Katerina Siniakova. This market will resolve to 'Katerina Siniakova' if Katerina Siniakova advances against Mary Stoiana. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Katerina Siniakova34m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Katerina Siniakova@ 86.0¢39m ago
15m CONFIRMED +13.6pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Katerina Siniakova@ 92.0¢57m ago
15m INVALIDATED -6.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Mary Stoiana; negative values favor Katerina Siniakova. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKaterina Siniakova · $130.4K
6hKaterina Siniakova · $164.3K
24hKaterina Siniakova · $164.2K

Mary Stoiana price VWAP

Volume-weighted Mary Stoiana price. Katerina Siniakova fills are converted to the complementary Mary Stoiana probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h7.5¢▼ below by 7.4pp
VWAP 7d7.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Mary Stoiana price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$9
30¢
$443
25¢
$26.6K
20¢
$2.9K
15¢
$1.4K
10¢
$28.5K
5¢
$4.7K
0¢
← now
$110.4K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYKaterina Siniakova$72.2K@ 99.9¢
c4a759e5c9350491AF61646f2c4A460x14f1…4a46
🐋—18 minutes ago
BUYKaterina Siniakova$24.6K@ 87.9¢
Woaifacai0x9b89…4244
🐋—42 minutes ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Game Spread: Katerina Siniakova (-3.5) vs Mary Stoiana (+3.5)
0.0¢$1.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Katerina Siniakova (-1.5) vs Mary Stoiana (+1.5)
0.0¢$1.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Mary Stoiana vs Katerina Siniakova
0.0¢$946priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Stoiana vs. Siniakova: Match O/U 22.5
0.0¢$21priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Stoiana vs. Siniakova: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢$6priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Mary Stoiana vs. Katerina Siniakova: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢$2priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Stoiana vs. Siniakova: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Stoiana vs. Siniakova: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

c4a759e5c9350491AF61646f2c4A46Katerina Siniakova$72.2K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
WoaifacaiKaterina Siniakova$24.6K
BUY VWAP 87.9¢·1 fill
UpTheBluesKaterina Siniakova$20.1K
BUY VWAP 75.5¢·7 fills
0x09be…9c32Katerina Siniakova$12.3K
BUY VWAP 95.7¢·3 fills
FlaznorpKaterina Siniakova$12.1K
BUY VWAP 91.5¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.