PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winner

● quote 30s ago
Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: about 5 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $32.9KEvent: Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs
0.1¢
Sinners
100.0¢
Eternal Fire
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection91Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets63Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution69Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:46 trades$12.2K trackedsource coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 31s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Sinners · $325 net·4 wallets·$517 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLEternal Fire$2.7K@ 100¢·kozelblack

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Sinners pressure: $9.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$9.0K
6h
+$9.0K
tracked
$12.2K

4 verified profitable wallets: Sinners · $325 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 85% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 5h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Sinners or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-22 22:50 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Sinners" if Sinners win Map 1 against Eternal Fire.

•This market will resolve to "Eternal Fire" if Eternal Fire win Map 1 against Sinners.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket final match between Sinners and Eternal Fire in the DraculaN Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Sinners" if Sinners win Map 1 against Eternal Fire. This market will resolve to "Eternal Fire" if Eternal Fire win Map 1 against Sinners. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 5, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 22, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 1h ago
DEADLINE CHANGED · 2h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
lllllllIlll2 linked markets · $54.8K gross
aaaa2982 linked markets · $2.3K gross
0xe907…cff62 linked markets · $31 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Eternal Fire DOWN 14.5pp · near-book depth $4.0K → $1.3K · 25s
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Sinners; negative values favor Eternal Fire. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSinners · $9.0K
6hSinners · $9.0K
24hSinners · $9.0K

Sinners price VWAP

Volume-weighted Sinners price. Eternal Fire fills are converted to the complementary Sinners probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h34.4¢▼ below by 34.3pp
VWAP 7d34.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Sinners price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$2.1K
70¢
$1
65¢
$97
60¢
$2.5K
55¢
$96
50¢
$13
45¢
$62
40¢
$16
35¢
$0
30¢
$195
25¢
$5
20¢
$19
15¢
$100
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$7.0K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs
24.5¢$268.0Kpriority64Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner
0.0¢$6.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map Handicap: SIN (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5)
0.0¢$819priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 2.5
0.0¢$194priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5)
0.0¢$141priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
0.0¢$85priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
0.0¢$5priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-3.5) vs Sinners (+3.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.