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Set Handicap: Ekaterina Alexandrova (-1.5) vs Leylah Fernandez (+1.5)

Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $2.5KEvent: Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Ekaterina Alexandrova
0.0¢
Ekaterina Alexandrova
0.0¢
Leylah Fernandez
0.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection44Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 54%
24h sample:3 trades$429 trackedsource coverage 17%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 55 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$190
6h
+$3
tracked
$429

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 54% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 55 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-30 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Ekaterina Alexandrova" if Ekaterina Alexandrova wins by 2 or more sets than Leylah Fernandez, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Leylah Fernandez."

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Ekaterina Alexandrova can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Leylah Fernandez."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Ekaterina Alexandrova and Leylah Fernandez in the Ningbo Open, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Ekaterina Alexandrova" if Ekaterina Alexandrova wins by 2 or more sets than Leylah Fernandez, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Leylah Fernandez." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Ekaterina Alexandrova can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Leylah Fernandez." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $24.7K gross
0x9e3e…f8822 linked markets · $2.0K gross
0x168c…f24b2 linked markets · $600 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Ekaterina Alexandrova; negative values favor Leylah Fernandez. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLeylah Fernandez · $190
6hEkaterina Alexandrova · $3
24hEkaterina Alexandrova · $3

Ekaterina Alexandrova price VWAP

Volume-weighted Ekaterina Alexandrova price. Leylah Fernandez fills are converted to the complementary Ekaterina Alexandrova probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h45.0¢▼ below by NaNpp
VWAP 7d45.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Ekaterina Alexandrova price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$216
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$190
30¢
$24
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Ekaterina Alexandrova
79.5¢$493.5Kpriority62Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Leylah Fernandez vs Ekaterina Alexandrova
0.0¢$2.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Fernandez vs. Alexandrova: Match O/U 22.5
0.0¢$1.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Fernandez vs. Alexandrova: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢$942priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Leylah Fernandez vs. Ekaterina Alexandrova: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢$319priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Fernandez vs. Alexandrova: Match O/U 23.5
0.0¢$61priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Ekaterina Alexandrova (-0.5) vs Leylah Fernandez (+0.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Fernandez vs. Alexandrova: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.