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Counter-Strike: Sinners vs JiJieHao (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $15.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $86.0KEvent: Counter-Strike: Sinners vs JiJieHao (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs
92.5¢
Sinners
7.5¢
JiJieHao
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection17Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets36Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution75Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 69%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:61 trades$14.0K trackedsource coverage 16%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 19 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:JiJieHao · $102 net·6 wallets·$242 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSinners$2.0K@ 84¢·BobbyMalen

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Sinners pressure: $2.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$2.4K
6h
−$2.2K
tracked
$14.0K

6 verified profitable wallets: JiJieHao · $102 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 69% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 19 minutes old.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Sinners or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-22 01:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Sinners" if Sinners win the match against JiJieHao.

•This market will resolve to "JiJieHao" if JiJieHao win the match against Sinners.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Sinners and JiJieHao in the DraculaN Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Sinners" if Sinners win the match against JiJieHao. This market will resolve to "JiJieHao" if JiJieHao win the match against Sinners. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 21, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 3h ago
DEADLINE CHANGED · 4h ago
DEADLINE CHANGED · 5h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
aaaa2983 linked markets · $3.6K gross
shardrift2 linked markets · $1.7K gross
MaxFomo3 linked markets · $321 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Sinners UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $488 → $399 · 7s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Sinners; negative values favor JiJieHao. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSinners · $2.4K
6hJiJieHao · $2.2K
24hJiJieHao · $978

Sinners price VWAP

Volume-weighted Sinners price. JiJieHao fills are converted to the complementary Sinners probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current92.5¢
VWAP 24h66.3¢▲ above by 26.2pp
VWAP 7d66.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Sinners price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
← now
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$2.3K
75¢
$80
70¢
$682
65¢
$1.6K
60¢
$8.9K
55¢
$114
50¢
$202
45¢
$15
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: Sinners vs JiJieHao - Map 1 Winner
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Map Handicap: SIN (-1.5) vs JiJieHao (+1.5)
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Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sinners (-3.5) vs JiJieHao (+3.5)
0.0¢$0priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.