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Set Handicap: Mattia Bellucci (-1.5) vs Terence Atmane (+1.5)

Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $1.3KEvent: Almaty Open: Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci
0.0¢
Mattia Bellucci
0.0¢
Terence Atmane
0.0¢
Spread
anomaly40Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection100Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 51%
24h sample:3 trades$30 trackedsource coverage 2%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 28 min agoofficial metadata 14 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$30
6h
−$30
tracked
$30

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 51% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 28 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-29 06:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Mattia Bellucci" if Mattia Bellucci wins by 2 or more sets than Terence Atmane, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Terence Atmane."

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Mattia Bellucci can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Terence Atmane."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Mattia Bellucci and Terence Atmane in the Almaty Open, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Mattia Bellucci" if Mattia Bellucci wins by 2 or more sets than Terence Atmane, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Terence Atmane." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Mattia Bellucci can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Terence Atmane." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
quavoo2 linked markets · $1.4K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $485 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Mattia Bellucci; negative values favor Terence Atmane. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTerence Atmane · $30
6hTerence Atmane · $30
24hTerence Atmane · $30

Mattia Bellucci price VWAP

Volume-weighted Mattia Bellucci price. Terence Atmane fills are converted to the complementary Mattia Bellucci probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h50.0¢▼ below by NaNpp
VWAP 7d50.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Mattia Bellucci price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$30
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Almaty Open: Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci
20.5¢$380.9Kpriority67Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Atmane vs. Bellucci: Match O/U 22.5
0.0¢$3.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Mattia Bellucci (-1.5) vs Terence Atmane (+1.5)
0.0¢$351priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Atmane vs. Bellucci: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢$91priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Terence Atmane vs. Mattia Bellucci: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢$37priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci
0.0¢$28priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Atmane vs. Bellucci: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Atmane vs. Bellucci: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.