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Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)

● quote 24s ago
Sports→American FootballCloses: about 9 hoursLiquidity: $575.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $92.3KEvent: Jaguars vs. Ravens

Indicative prices · 24s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

51.5¢
Jaguars
48.5¢
Ravens
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection24Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority65Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:18 trades$41.3K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 8 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Ravens · $36.7K net·2 wallets(1🐋)·$36.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYRavens$26.9K@ 49¢·Kch-Temp

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Ravens SETUP
What the tape says

Ravens pressure: $9.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$9.7K
6h
−$36.5K
tracked
$41.3K

2 verified profitable wallets: Ravens · $36.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 65

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 9h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Ravens or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-06 01:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Jaguars" if the Jaguars win the game by 10 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Ravens".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between Jaguars and Ravens, scheduled for November 5 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Jaguars" if the Jaguars win the game by 10 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Ravens". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Multicoloured-Serf2 linked markets · $118.7K gross
iDARKenjoyer3 linked markets · $7.7K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $7.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Ravens@ 49.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jaguars; negative values favor Ravens. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRavens · $9.7K
6hRavens · $36.5K
24hRavens · $35.7K

Jaguars price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jaguars price. Ravens fills are converted to the complementary Jaguars probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current51.5¢
VWAP 24h51.18¢▲ above by 0.3pp
VWAP 7d51.23¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Jaguars price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$43.7K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYRavens$26.9K@ 48.82¢
Kch-Temp0x9243…658e
🐋—about 3 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 38.5
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Jaguars vs. Ravens
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Spread: Jaguars (-13.5)
—$5.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 42.5
—$3.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 48.5
—$2.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Kch-TempRavens$26.9K
BUY VWAP 48.82¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.