PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Zeynep Sonmez

● quote 165 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $197.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $157.6KEvent: Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Zeynep Sonmez
99.9¢
Ann Li
0.2¢
Zeynep Sonmez
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets98Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 58%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:55 trades$49.2K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 31%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 194 min agoofficial metadata 168 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Ann Li · $1.1K net·3 wallets·$1.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAnn Li$13.2K@ 65¢·Kkunn

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$23.4K
tracked
$49.2K

3 verified profitable wallets: Ann Li · $1.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 58% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 165 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 194 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 168 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-29 01:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Ann Li and Zeynep Sonmez in the Japan Women's Open, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ann Li' if Ann Li advances against Zeynep Sonmez. This market will resolve to 'Zeynep Sonmez' if Zeynep Sonmez advances against Ann Li. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Zeynep Sonmez UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $16.8K → $18.1K · 26s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Ann Li; negative values favor Zeynep Sonmez. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAnn Li · $0
6hAnn Li · $23.4K
24hAnn Li · $38.6K

Ann Li price VWAP

Volume-weighted Ann Li price. Zeynep Sonmez fills are converted to the complementary Ann Li probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h80.1¢▲ above by 19.8pp
VWAP 7d80.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Ann Li price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$18.4K
90¢
$3.1K
85¢
$27
80¢
$702
75¢
$0
70¢
$4.8K
65¢
$21.0K
60¢
$1.1K
55¢
$100
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAnn Li$13.2K@ 65.0¢
Kkunn0xe787…5034
🐋—about 7 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Li vs. Sonmez: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢$1.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Ann Li (-3.5) vs Zeynep Sonmez (+3.5)
49.0¢$313priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Ann Li (-1.5) vs Zeynep Sonmez (+1.5)
0.0¢$288priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Ann Li vs Zeynep Sonmez
0.0¢$129priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Ann Li vs. Zeynep Sonmez: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢$103priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Li vs. Sonmez: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Li vs. Sonmez: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Li vs. Sonmez: Match O/U 22.5
42.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

KkunnAnn Li$16.3K
BUY VWAP 65.2¢·2 fills
UpTheBluesAnn Li$10.9K
BUY VWAP 84.8¢·7 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.