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Ningbo Open: Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $168.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $585.6KEvent: Ningbo Open: Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider
15.5¢
Alexandra Eala
84.5¢
Diana Shnaider
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets23Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority48Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 84%💡 15 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:251 trades$220.2K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Alexandra Eala · $23.2K net·15 wallets(2🐋)·$102.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAlexandra Eala$17.1K@ 32¢·0x076d…8d4c

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Diana Shnaider pressure: $1.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.9K
6h
+$30.6K
tracked
$220.2K

15 verified profitable wallets: Alexandra Eala · $23.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 84% · priority 48

Since latest market sweep: +6.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Diana Shnaider or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-28 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandra Eala and Diana Shnaider in the Ningbo Open, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexandra Eala' if Alexandra Eala advances against Diana Shnaider. This market will resolve to 'Diana Shnaider' if Diana Shnaider advances against Alexandra Eala. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
neutralwave232 linked markets · $509 gross
quavoo2 linked markets · $46 gross
0x6763…39762 linked markets · $2 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPSELL Diana Shnaider@ 90.0¢1m ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Alexandra Eala DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $7.0K → $1.1K · 6s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alexandra Eala; negative values favor Diana Shnaider. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDiana Shnaider · $1.9K
6hAlexandra Eala · $30.6K
24hAlexandra Eala · $30.8K

Alexandra Eala price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alexandra Eala price. Diana Shnaider fills are converted to the complementary Alexandra Eala probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current15.5¢
VWAP 24h30.0¢▼ below by 14.5pp
VWAP 7d30.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Alexandra Eala price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$9.5K
50¢
$21.1K
45¢
$38.3K
40¢
$16.5K
35¢
$6.8K
30¢
$21.1K
25¢
$11.4K
20¢
$30.4K
15¢
← now
$19.9K
10¢
$29.7K
5¢
$19.1K
0¢
$3.2K

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLDiana Shnaider$13.6K@ 90.0¢
dmoralez0x492b…45ee
🐋—3 minutes ago
BUYAlexandra Eala$17.1K@ 31.7¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set Handicap: Diana Shnaider (-1.5) vs Alexandra Eala (+1.5)
0.0¢$1.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider
0.0¢$1.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Alexandra Eala vs. Diana Shnaider: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢$263priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Eala vs. Shnaider: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢$123priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Diana Shnaider (-1.5) vs Alexandra Eala (+1.5)
0.0¢$52priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Eala vs. Shnaider: Match O/U 22.5
0.0¢$22priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Eala vs. Shnaider: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Eala vs. Shnaider: Match O/U 23.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x076d…8d4cAlexandra Eala$28.5K
BUY VWAP 30.6¢·5 fills
KkunnAlexandra Eala$23.3K
BUY VWAP 41.4¢·4 fills
UpTheBluesDiana Shnaider$18.0K
BUY VWAP 60.2¢·9 fills
dmoralezDiana Shnaider$11.1K
BUY VWAP 84.7¢·6 fills
RN1Alexandra Eala$10.3K
BUY VWAP 19.5¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.