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Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers

● quote just now
Sports→BasketballCloses: about 15 hoursLiquidity: $88.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $247.2KEvent: Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

40.5¢
Timberwolves
59.5¢
Cavaliers
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection45Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets23Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution91Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority60Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 72%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:166 trades$72.8K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 29%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 8 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Timberwolves · $70 net·3 wallets·$300 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCavaliers$14.7K@ 61¢·AppleTiiime

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Cavaliers SETUP
What the tape says

Cavaliers pressure: $33.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$33.0K
6h
−$37.6K
tracked
$72.8K

3 verified profitable wallets: Timberwolves · $70 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 72% · priority 60

Since latest large flow: -1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 15h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Cavaliers or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-26 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Timberwolves".

•If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 26 at 7:00PM ET: If the Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
quavoo2 linked markets · $11.4K gross
0xbd5e…001e5 linked markets · $100 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Cavaliers@ 61.0¢52m ago
15m INVALIDATED -3.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Timberwolves; negative values favor Cavaliers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCavaliers · $33.0K
6hCavaliers · $37.6K
24hCavaliers · $36.9K

Timberwolves price VWAP

Volume-weighted Timberwolves price. Cavaliers fills are converted to the complementary Timberwolves probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current40.5¢
VWAP 24h40.75¢▼ below by 0.2pp
VWAP 7d40.75¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Timberwolves price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$5.5K
40¢
← now
$51.1K
35¢
$16.2K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCavaliers$10.8K@ 59.87¢
AppleTiiime0x9516…2104
🐋—36 minutes ago
BUYCavaliers$14.7K@ 60.87¢
AppleTiiime0x9516…2104
🐋—about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

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Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5
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Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)
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Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)
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Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

AppleTiiimeCavaliers$42.0K
BUY VWAP 60.21¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.