PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Game Spread: Leylah Fernandez (-3.5) vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich (+3.5)

Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $1.1KEvent: Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
0.0¢
Leylah Fernandez
0.0¢
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
0.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 55%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:3 trades$227 trackedsource coverage 21%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 227 min agoofficial metadata 50 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$27
tracked
$227

1 verified profitable wallet: Leylah Fernandez · $27 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 55% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 227 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 50 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-28 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Leylah Fernandez" if Leylah Fernandez wins 3.5 or more total games than Aliaksandra Sasnovich in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Aliaksandra Sasnovich".

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Leylah Fernandez could no longer have finished 3.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Aliaksandra Sasnovich".

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Leylah Fernandez" if Leylah Fernandez wins 3.5 or more total games than Aliaksandra Sasnovich in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Aliaksandra Sasnovich". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Leylah Fernandez could no longer have finished 3.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Aliaksandra Sasnovich". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $6.9K gross
neutralwave232 linked markets · $2.6K gross
0x4247…91c42 linked markets · $1.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Leylah Fernandez; negative values favor Aliaksandra Sasnovich. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLeylah Fernandez · $0
6hLeylah Fernandez · $27
24hLeylah Fernandez · $27

Leylah Fernandez price VWAP

Volume-weighted Leylah Fernandez price. Aliaksandra Sasnovich fills are converted to the complementary Leylah Fernandez probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h53.4¢▼ below by NaNpp
VWAP 7d53.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Leylah Fernandez price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$27
50¢
$200
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
0.0¢$679.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?
43.5¢$905.4Kpriority66Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?
31.5¢$558.0Kpriority55Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?
41.5¢$437.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$434.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffs
0.1¢$369.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
25.5¢$311.1Kpriority89Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$307.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.