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Oilers vs. Maple Leafs

● quote just now
Sports→HockeyCloses: 8 minutesLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $19.1KEvent: Oilers vs. Maple Leafs

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

57.5¢
Oilers
42.5¢
Maple Leafs
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection23Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority51Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 82%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:17 trades$12.7K trackedsource coverage 66%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 12 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMaple Leafs$5.5K@ 42¢·keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Maple Leafs pressure: $2.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$2.9K
6h
−$3.0K
tracked
$12.7K

1 verified profitable wallet: Maple Leafs · $5.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 82% · priority 51

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Maple Leafs or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-15 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nhl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If the Oilers win, the market will resolve to "Oilers".

•If the Maple Leafs win, the market will resolve to "Maple Leafs".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for November 14 at 7:00PM ET: If the Oilers win, the market will resolve to "Oilers". If the Maple Leafs win, the market will resolve to "Maple Leafs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
quavoo2 linked markets · $6.3K gross
Ming19972 linked markets · $25 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Oilers; negative values favor Maple Leafs. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMaple Leafs · $2.9K
6hMaple Leafs · $3.0K
24hMaple Leafs · $8.5K

Oilers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Oilers price. Maple Leafs fills are converted to the complementary Oilers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current57.5¢
VWAP 24h57.6¢▼ below by 0.1pp
VWAP 7d57.66¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Oilers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
← now
$14.7K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.