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Fort Worth: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Patrick Zahraj

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $138.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $100.6KEvent: Fort Worth: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Patrick Zahraj
49.5¢
Shunsuke Mitsui
50.5¢
Patrick Zahraj
3.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection54Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets99Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority84Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 90%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:33 trades$59.7K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 59%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Shunsuke Mitsui · $56.9K net·5 wallets(1🐋)·$57.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYShunsuke Mitsui$15.5K@ 66¢·askilika

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Shunsuke Mitsui SETUP
What the tape says

Shunsuke Mitsui pressure: $32.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$32.1K
6h
+$58.6K
tracked
$59.7K

5 verified profitable wallets: Shunsuke Mitsui · $56.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
3.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 90% · priority 84

Since latest accumulation: -25.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Shunsuke Mitsui or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-25 18:20 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Shunsuke Mitsui and Patrick Zahraj in the Fort Worth, USA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 2:20PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shunsuke Mitsui' if Shunsuke Mitsui advances against Patrick Zahraj. This market will resolve to 'Patrick Zahraj' if Patrick Zahraj advances against Shunsuke Mitsui. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY Shunsuke Mitsui@ 76.0¢16m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Shunsuke Mitsui16m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Shunsuke Mitsui@ 67.0¢25m ago
15m INVALIDATED -25.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Shunsuke Mitsui@ 63.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp1h STALLED +1.0pp
Latest book event: Patrick Zahraj UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $9.0K → $14.6K · 23s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Shunsuke Mitsui; negative values favor Patrick Zahraj. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hShunsuke Mitsui · $32.1K
6hShunsuke Mitsui · $58.6K
24hShunsuke Mitsui · $58.6K

Shunsuke Mitsui price VWAP

Volume-weighted Shunsuke Mitsui price. Patrick Zahraj fills are converted to the complementary Shunsuke Mitsui probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current49.5¢
VWAP 24h66.7¢▼ below by 17.2pp
VWAP 7d66.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Shunsuke Mitsui price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$57.5K
60¢
$123
55¢
$2.0K
50¢
$1
45¢
← now
$96
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYShunsuke Mitsui$15.5K@ 65.6¢
askilika0x0979…8d9b
🐋—about 3 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Mitsui vs. Zahraj: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢$25priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Patrick Zahraj
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Shunsuke Mitsui vs. Patrick Zahraj: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Mitsui vs. Zahraj: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Mitsui vs. Zahraj: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Mitsui vs. Zahraj: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 1 Winner: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Patrick Zahraj
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Mitsui vs. Zahraj: Match O/U 22.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

askilikaShunsuke Mitsui$57.1K
BUY VWAP 67.0¢·13 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.