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Lisbon: Thiago Monteiro vs Alejandro Moro Canas

Sports→TennisSettlement: Thiago MonteiroLiquidity: $954.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $258.8KEvent: Lisbon: Thiago Monteiro vs Alejandro Moro Canas
100.0¢
Thiago Monteiro payout
0.0¢
Alejandro Moro Canas payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:7 trades$36.8K tracked14% 🐋source coverage 54%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1411 min agoofficial metadata 971 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Thiago Monteiro · $1.2K net·3 wallets·$1.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLThiago Monteiro$31.8K@ 100¢·robustmst

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Thiago Monteiro. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-26 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Monteiro and Alejandro Moro Canas in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Monteiro' if Thiago Monteiro advances against Alejandro Moro Canas. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Moro Canas' if Alejandro Moro Canas advances against Thiago Monteiro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWSELL Thiago Monteiro@ 70.0¢1d ago
15m INVALIDATED -14.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
MARKET SWEEPSELL Thiago Monteiro@ 69.0¢1d ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Thiago Monteiro1d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Thiago Monteiro@ 51.0¢1d ago
15m CONFIRMED +22.0pp1h CONFIRMED +19.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Alejandro Moro Canas DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $1.5K → $398 · 22s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Thiago Monteiro; negative values favor Alejandro Moro Canas. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hThiago Monteiro · $0
6hThiago Monteiro · $0
24hAlejandro Moro Canas · $37.5K

Thiago Monteiro price VWAP

Volume-weighted Thiago Monteiro price. Alejandro Moro Canas fills are converted to the complementary Thiago Monteiro probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h73.0¢▲ above by 27.0pp
VWAP 7d73.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Thiago Monteiro price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$34.0K
90¢
$0
85¢
$6.6K
80¢
$14.4K
75¢
$121
70¢
$22.1K
65¢
$10.5K
60¢
$917
55¢
$5.4K
50¢
$36.2K
45¢
$0
40¢
$10.0K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLThiago Monteiro$31.8K@ 99.9¢
robustmst0xebfd…fd63
🐋—about 24 hours ago
BUYThiago Monteiro$15.0K@ 53.5¢
robustmst0xebfd…fd63
🐋—1 day ago
BUYThiago Monteiro$20.0K@ 52.8¢
robustmst0xebfd…fd63
🐋—1 day ago
BUYThiago Monteiro$10.0K@ 44.0¢
robustmst0xebfd…fd63
🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

robustmstThiago Monteiro$45.0K
BUY VWAP 50.8¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.