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Lisbon: Marco Cecchinato vs Vilius Gaubas

Sports→TennisSettlement: Marco CecchinatoLiquidity: $115.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $116.9KEvent: Lisbon: Marco Cecchinato vs Vilius Gaubas
100.0¢
Marco Cecchinato payout
0.0¢
Vilius Gaubas payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:57 trades$24.6K trackedsource coverage 21%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1336 min agoofficial metadata 921 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Marco Cecchinato · $673 net·6 wallets·$2.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMarco Cecchinato$2.1K@ 77¢·UpTheBlues

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Marco Cecchinato. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-26 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Cecchinato and Vilius Gaubas in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marco Cecchinato' if Marco Cecchinato advances against Vilius Gaubas. This market will resolve to 'Vilius Gaubas' if Vilius Gaubas advances against Marco Cecchinato. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Marco Cecchinato UP 3.8pp · near-book depth $12.7K → $791 · 40s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Marco Cecchinato; negative values favor Vilius Gaubas. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMarco Cecchinato · $0
6hMarco Cecchinato · $0
24hMarco Cecchinato · $10.4K

Marco Cecchinato price VWAP

Volume-weighted Marco Cecchinato price. Vilius Gaubas fills are converted to the complementary Marco Cecchinato probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h77.0¢▲ above by 23.0pp
VWAP 7d77.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Marco Cecchinato price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$8.8K
90¢
$4.8K
85¢
$0
80¢
$371
75¢
$2.1K
70¢
$0
65¢
$1.2K
60¢
$205
55¢
$147
50¢
$3.1K
45¢
$0
40¢
$4.0K
35¢
$43
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.