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Set 2 Winner: Katie Boulter vs Himeno Sakatsume

● quote 417 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $2.4KEvent: Japan Women's Open: Katie Boulter vs Himeno Sakatsume
88.5¢
YES
11.5¢
NO
15.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 0%

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$0

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
15.0¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 0% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Only 0 tracked trades / 0 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Tracked source coverage is only 0%.
  • •BUY/SELL is known for 0% of tracked volume.
  • •Executable quote is 417 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-26 01:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to “Katie Boulter” if Katie Boulter wins set 2. It will resolve to “Himeno Sakatsume” if Himeno Sakatsume wins set 2.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Katie Boulter and Himeno Sakatsume in the Japan Women's Open, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Katie Boulter” if Katie Boulter wins set 2. It will resolve to “Himeno Sakatsume” if Himeno Sakatsume wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $14.8K gross
0x37b0…799f2 linked markets · $16 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYES · $0
6hYES · $0
24hYES · $0
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Japan Women's Open: Katie Boulter vs Himeno Sakatsume
93.0¢$383.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Japan Women's Open: Completed Match: Katie Boulter vs Himeno Sakatsume
0.0¢$8.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Katie Boulter (-1.5) vs Himeno Sakatsume (+1.5)
0.0¢$273priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Katie Boulter (-3.5) vs Himeno Sakatsume (+3.5)
0.0¢$231priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Katie Boulter vs. Himeno Sakatsume: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢$57priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Boulter vs. Sakatsume: Match O/U 22.5
0.0¢$7priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Boulter vs. Sakatsume: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Boulter vs. Sakatsume: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.