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Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)

Sports→SoccerCloses: about 8 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $148Event: Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC - More Markets

Indicative prices · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

—
Paris Saint-Germain FC
—
Le Havre AC
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Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:7 trades$220 trackedsource coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 158 min agoofficial metadata 1676 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$157
tracked
$220

1 verified profitable wallet: Le Havre AC · $153 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Indicative price is unavailable.
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 158 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-30 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ligue1.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Paris Saint-Germain FC" if Paris Saint-Germain FC win the game by 3 or more goals.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Le Havre AC".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming Ligue 1 game, scheduled for October 30 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Paris Saint-Germain FC" if Paris Saint-Germain FC win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Le Havre AC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on ligue1.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0F622 linked markets · $40.4K gross
Flaznorp4 linked markets · $1.4K gross
mooseborzoi2 linked markets · $355 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Paris Saint-Germain FC; negative values favor Le Havre AC. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hParis Saint-Germain FC · $0
6hLe Havre AC · $157
24hLe Havre AC · $150

Paris Saint-Germain FC price VWAP

Volume-weighted Paris Saint-Germain FC price. Le Havre AC fills are converted to the complementary Paris Saint-Germain FC probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current—
VWAP 24h32.28¢
VWAP 7d32.28¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Paris Saint-Germain FC price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$7
30¢
$213
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Le Havre AC (-1.5)
2.5¢$172.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Le Havre AC (-2.5)
0.55¢$25.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5
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Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)
51.5¢$8.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 5.5
—$1.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5
—$8priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Le Havre AC (-3.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-3.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.