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Wild vs. Maple Leafs

● quote just now
Sports→HockeyCloses: 5 minutesLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $53.2KEvent: Wild vs. Maple Leafs

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

61.5¢
Wild
38.5¢
Maple Leafs
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection22Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority42Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%
24h sample:54 trades$20.9K trackedsource coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYWild$6.6K@ 62¢·0xf62b…844a

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Wild pressure: $4.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$4.6K
6h
+$4.8K
tracked
$20.9K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 42

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Wild or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-13 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nhl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If the Wild win, the market will resolve to "Wild".

•If the Maple Leafs win, the market will resolve to "Maple Leafs".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for November 12 at 7:00PM ET: If the Wild win, the market will resolve to "Wild". If the Maple Leafs win, the market will resolve to "Maple Leafs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
quavoo2 linked markets · $30.3K gross
mooseborzoi2 linked markets · $5.9K gross
neutralwave232 linked markets · $48 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Wild; negative values favor Maple Leafs. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hWild · $4.6K
6hWild · $4.8K
24hWild · $20.6K

Wild price VWAP

Volume-weighted Wild price. Maple Leafs fills are converted to the complementary Wild probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current61.5¢
VWAP 24h62.03¢▼ below by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d62.03¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Wild price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
← now
$20.9K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Wild (-1.5)
39.5¢$6.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Maple Leafs (-2.5)
12.5¢$800priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Wild vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5
59.5¢$323priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Wild vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 3.5
88.0¢$189priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Wild vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5
49.5¢$138priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Maple Leafs (-3.5)
5.9¢$132priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)
20.5¢$33priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Wild vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 7.5
28.0¢$16priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xf62b…844aWild$13.4K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·9 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.