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Wuhan Tennis Open: Sonay Kartal vs Jelena Ostapenko

● quote 298 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $364.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $429.5KEvent: Wuhan Tennis Open: Sonay Kartal vs Jelena Ostapenko
99.9¢
Sonay Kartal
1.0¢
Jelena Ostapenko
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets52Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 57%💡 13 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:227 trades$124.4K trackedsource coverage 29%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 314 min agoofficial metadata 301 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Sonay Kartal · $9.5K net·13 wallets·$18.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJelena Ostapenko$9.0K@ 64¢·Mambaxbt

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$13.4K
tracked
$124.4K

13 verified profitable wallets: Sonay Kartal · $9.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 57% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 298 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 314 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 301 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-24 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Sonay Kartal and Jelena Ostapenko in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sonay Kartal' if Sonay Kartal advances against Jelena Ostapenko. This market will resolve to 'Jelena Ostapenko' if Jelena Ostapenko advances against Sonay Kartal. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xe907…cff62 linked markets · $3.4K gross
0x30f6…004f2 linked markets · $367 gross
0xc124…bd0f2 linked markets · $21 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Jelena Ostapenko DOWN 12.0pp · near-book depth $1.1K → $2 · 9s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Sonay Kartal; negative values favor Jelena Ostapenko. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSonay Kartal · $0
6hJelena Ostapenko · $13.4K
24hJelena Ostapenko · $19.6K

Sonay Kartal price VWAP

Volume-weighted Sonay Kartal price. Jelena Ostapenko fills are converted to the complementary Sonay Kartal probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h67.2¢▲ above by 32.7pp
VWAP 7d66.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Sonay Kartal price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$26.1K
90¢
$0
85¢
$888
80¢
$11.8K
75¢
$0
70¢
$11.7K
65¢
$9.5K
60¢
$10.1K
55¢
$17.9K
50¢
$18.3K
45¢
$8.5K
40¢
$863
35¢
$11.3K
30¢
$301
25¢
$1.9K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

KkunnJelena Ostapenko$10.3K
BUY VWAP 42.3¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.