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Wuhan Tennis Open: Diana Shnaider vs Jelena Ostapenko

● quote 8 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $160.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.0MEvent: Wuhan Tennis Open: Diana Shnaider vs Jelena Ostapenko
0.1¢
Diana Shnaider
99.9¢
Jelena Ostapenko
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection11Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets13Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 20 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:293 trades$398.3K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 9 min agoofficial metadata 10 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Diana Shnaider · $19.1K net·20 wallets(1🐋)·$152.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLJelena Ostapenko$40.9K@ 100¢·luisterra

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Diana Shnaider pressure: $43.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$43.4K
6h
+$80.6K
tracked
$398.3K

20 verified profitable wallets: Diana Shnaider · $19.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +37.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 8 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 37.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Diana Shnaider or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-23 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Diana Shnaider and Jelena Ostapenko in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Diana Shnaider' if Diana Shnaider advances against Jelena Ostapenko. This market will resolve to 'Jelena Ostapenko' if Jelena Ostapenko advances against Diana Shnaider. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $11.7K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $6.2K gross
0x9e3e…f8822 linked markets · $4.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Jelena Ostapenko1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Jelena Ostapenko@ 63.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +23.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Diana Shnaider@ 38.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -25.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Jelena Ostapenko2h ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Jelena Ostapenko UP 2.5pp · near-book depth $129.6K → $7.2K · 24s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Diana Shnaider; negative values favor Jelena Ostapenko. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDiana Shnaider · $43.4K
6hDiana Shnaider · $80.6K
24hDiana Shnaider · $88.6K

Diana Shnaider price VWAP

Volume-weighted Diana Shnaider price. Jelena Ostapenko fills are converted to the complementary Diana Shnaider probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h44.3¢▼ below by 44.2pp
VWAP 7d44.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Diana Shnaider price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$1.4K
80¢
$6.8K
75¢
$26.6K
70¢
$17.0K
65¢
$59.0K
60¢
$73.6K
55¢
$2.5K
50¢
$5.6K
45¢
$27.2K
40¢
$11.4K
35¢
$44.4K
30¢
$30.7K
25¢
$52
20¢
$1.6K
15¢
$13.9K
10¢
$13.3K
5¢
$9.3K
0¢
← now
$53.9K

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLJelena Ostapenko$40.9K@ 99.9¢
luisterra0xf828…6129
🐋—19 minutes ago
BUYDiana Shnaider$12.1K@ 38.0¢
jtwyslljy0x9cb9…32f2
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLDiana Shnaider$10.6K@ 45.0¢
luisterra0xf828…6129
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDiana Shnaider$35.5K@ 60.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDiana Shnaider$10.0K@ 60.0¢
luisterra0xf828…6129
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLJelena Ostapenko$11.1K@ 40.0¢
luisterra0xf828…6129
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYJelena Ostapenko$21.9K@ 22.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Shnaider vs. Ostapenko: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢$5.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Diana Shnaider vs Jelena Ostapenko
0.0¢$3.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Diana Shnaider (-3.5) vs Jelena Ostapenko (+3.5)
0.0¢$566priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Diana Shnaider vs. Jelena Ostapenko: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢$555priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Shnaider vs. Ostapenko: Match O/U 22.5
0.0¢$285priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Shnaider vs. Ostapenko: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Shnaider vs. Ostapenko: Match O/U 23.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Shnaider vs. Ostapenko: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563Diana Shnaider$47.9K
BUY VWAP 36.9¢·3 fills
luisterraJelena Ostapenko$36.5K
BUY VWAP 59.4¢·7 fills
UpTheBluesJelena Ostapenko$28.5K
BUY VWAP 69.4¢·11 fills
luisterraDiana Shnaider$27.4K
BUY VWAP 61.7¢·3 fills
0x2c33…0563Jelena Ostapenko$22.9K
BUY VWAP 21.9¢·2 fills
jtwyslljyDiana Shnaider$17.9K
BUY VWAP 39.8¢·4 fills
UpTheBluesDiana Shnaider$13.0K
BUY VWAP 66.4¢·9 fills
BIessDiana Shnaider$11.7K
BUY VWAP 63.3¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.