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Warriors vs. Lakers

● quote just now
Sports→BasketballCloses: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $210.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $125.9KEvent: Warriors vs. Lakers
33.5¢
Warriors
66.5¢
Lakers
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection4Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets6Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority43Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 72%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:46 trades$35.5K trackedsource coverage 28%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Lakers · $1.4K net·6 wallets·$14.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYWarriors$5.1K@ 33¢·Soarin22

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Lakers pressure: $1.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.5K
6h
+$5.5K
tracked
$35.5K

6 verified profitable wallets: Lakers · $1.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 72% · priority 43

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Lakers or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-22 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors".

•If the Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Lakers".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 21 at 10:00PM ET: If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors". If the Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Lakers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Soarin222 linked markets · $16.8K gross
HomeRunHazard4 linked markets · $12.1K gross
ff668682 linked markets · $3.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Warriors; negative values favor Lakers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLakers · $1.5K
6hWarriors · $5.5K
24hWarriors · $9.7K

Warriors price VWAP

Volume-weighted Warriors price. Lakers fills are converted to the complementary Warriors probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current33.5¢
VWAP 24h33.0¢▲ above by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d32.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Warriors price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
← now
$42.5K
25¢
$3.1K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

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Spread: Lakers (-5.5)
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Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5
0.0¢$6.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5
56.0¢$342priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5
53.5¢$239priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Soarin22Warriors$11.2K
BUY VWAP 33.0¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.