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Bulls vs. Raptors: O/U 235.5

Sports→BasketballCloses: 8 minutesLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $6.2KEvent: Bulls vs. Raptors
0.0¢
Over
0.0¢
Under
0.0¢
Spread
anomaly52Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 59%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:6 trades$2.2K trackedsource coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Over · $172 net·3 wallets·$172 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYUnder$2.0K@ 44¢·chanello

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$34
6h
−$2.0K
tracked
$2.2K

3 verified profitable wallets: Over · $172 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-21 23:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the combined final score is more than 235.5 points, the market will resolve to "Over".

•If the combined final score is less than 235.5 points, the market will resolve to "Under".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Bulls and Raptors, scheduled for October 21 at 7:30PM ET: If the combined final score is more than 235.5 points, the market will resolve to "Over". If the combined final score is less than 235.5 points, the market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until completed. If the game is canceled entirely, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
mooseborzoii2 linked markets · $32.8K gross
ferrariChampions20263 linked markets · $23.4K gross
HomeRunHazard7 linked markets · $16.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Over; negative values favor Under. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hOver · $34
6hUnder · $2.0K
24hUnder · $1.8K

Over price VWAP

Volume-weighted Over price. Under fills are converted to the complementary Over probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h55.9¢▼ below by NaNpp
VWAP 7d55.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Over price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$2.2K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Raptors (-10.5)
50.5¢$242.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Bulls vs. Raptors
20.5¢$214.8Kpriority72Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Bulls vs. Raptors: O/U 238.5
48.5¢$58.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Bulls vs. Raptors: O/U 236.5
53.5¢$50.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Raptors (-9.5)
54.5¢$40.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Bulls vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 115.5
0.0¢$32.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Bulls vs. Raptors: O/U 237.5
51.5¢$24.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 7.5
0.0¢$7.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.