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Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 220.5

● quote 17s ago
Sports→BasketballCloses: about 6 hoursLiquidity: $99.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $87.6KEvent: Hornets vs. Nets
47.5¢
Over
52.5¢
Under
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly3Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets57Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:29 trades$35.2K trackedsource coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 37 min agoofficial metadata 6 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Over · $8.7K net·5 wallets·$15.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYOver$6.7K@ 48¢·bbb17367162806

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$28
6h
+$10.7K
tracked
$35.2K

5 verified profitable wallets: Over · $8.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 37 minutes old.
  • •Less than 6h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-21 23:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the combined final score is more than 220.5 points, the market will resolve to "Over".

•If the combined final score is less than 220.5 points, the market will resolve to "Under".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Hornets and Nets, scheduled for October 21 at 7:30PM ET: If the combined final score is more than 220.5 points, the market will resolve to "Over". If the combined final score is less than 220.5 points, the market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until completed. If the game is canceled entirely, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
SunlineTicker6 linked markets · $79.5K gross
mooseborzoii3 linked markets · $22.8K gross
HomeRunHazard6 linked markets · $17.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Over; negative values favor Under. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hUnder · $28
6hOver · $10.7K
24hOver · $10.7K

Over price VWAP

Volume-weighted Over price. Under fills are converted to the complementary Over probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current47.5¢
VWAP 24h48.1¢▼ below by 0.6pp
VWAP 7d48.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Over price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$5.0K
45¢
← now
$31.1K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Hornets vs. Nets
51.5¢$468.4Kpriority55Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Hornets (-1.5)
49.5¢$147.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Nets (-1.5)
45.5¢$50.8Kpriority67Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 219.5
50.5¢$38.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Nets (-3.5)
39.5¢$37.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 218.5
52.5¢$29.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Hornets (-2.5)
45.5¢$27.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)
36.5¢$18.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.