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Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Mena Warriors (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A

● quote 32s ago
Sports→Esports · Dota 2Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $75.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $83.8KEvent: Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Mena Warriors (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A
100.0¢
PuckChamp
0.1¢
Mena Warriors
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets91Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution95Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 57%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:102 trades$23.6K trackedsource coverage 28%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 81 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:PuckChamp · $3.0K net·9 wallets·$3.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPuckChamp$5.0K@ 100¢·LewLewZZ

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$16.4K
tracked
$23.6K

9 verified profitable wallets: PuckChamp · $3.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 57% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 81 minutes old.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-16 01:20 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "PuckChamp" if PuckChamp win the match against Mena Warriors.

•This market will resolve to "Mena Warriors" if Mena Warriors win the match against PuckChamp.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between PuckChamp and Mena Warriors in the EPL Masters Play-In Group A, initially scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "PuckChamp" if PuckChamp win the match against Mena Warriors. This market will resolve to "Mena Warriors" if Mena Warriors win the match against PuckChamp. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 15, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 4h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
swag67miniongucci2 linked markets · $11.9K gross
TiltedAnimal2 linked markets · $5.3K gross
svelzao2 linked markets · $5.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: PuckChamp UP 4.8pp · near-book depth $3.4K → $1.1K · 8s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor PuckChamp; negative values favor Mena Warriors. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPuckChamp · $0
6hPuckChamp · $16.4K
24hPuckChamp · $16.3K

PuckChamp price VWAP

Volume-weighted PuckChamp price. Mena Warriors fills are converted to the complementary PuckChamp probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h87.9¢▲ above by 12.1pp
VWAP 7d87.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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PuckChamp price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$13.0K
90¢
$3.8K
85¢
$1.9K
80¢
$0
75¢
$505
70¢
$544
65¢
$112
60¢
$57
55¢
$287
50¢
$1.0K
45¢
$1.4K
40¢
$195
35¢
$350
30¢
$246
25¢
$157
20¢
$110
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.