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Spread: Patriots (-6.5)

Sports→American FootballSettlement: DolphinsLiquidity: $132.5KOfficial 24h Vol: —Event: Patriots vs. Dolphins
0.0¢
Patriots payout
100.0¢
Dolphins payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Patriots · $3.0K net·2 wallets(2🐋)·$33.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPatriots$18.0K@ 54¢·0x2c33…0563

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Dolphins. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-01 21:25 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Patriots" if the Patriots win the game by 7 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Dolphins".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between Patriots and Dolphins, scheduled for November 1 at 4:25 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Patriots" if the Patriots win the game by 7 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Dolphins". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 6d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 6d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
iDARKenjoyer3 linked markets · $100.8K gross
TAIWANNUMBERONE4 linked markets · $89.0K gross
0x2c33…05634 linked markets · $88.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Patriots; negative values favor Dolphins. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDolphins · $335
6hPatriots · $10.7K
24hPatriots · $15.8K

Patriots price VWAP

Volume-weighted Patriots price. Dolphins fills are converted to the complementary Patriots probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h52.78¢▼ below by 52.8pp
VWAP 7d52.74¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Patriots price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$148
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$400
55¢
$0
50¢
$56.7K
45¢
$0
40¢
$2.8K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$13
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYPatriots$18.0K@ 54.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—7 days ago
BUYPatriots$10.6K@ 53.0¢0x418d…88a3🐋—7 days ago
BUYDolphins$15.0K@ 48.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—7 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563Patriots$18.0K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·1 fill
ferrariChampions2026Dolphins$15.0K
BUY VWAP 48.0¢·1 fill
0x418d…88a3Patriots$10.6K
BUY VWAP 53.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.