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Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?

● quote just now
Politics→Closes: 3 monthsLiquidity: $63.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $162.3KEvent: Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by...?
100.0¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly3Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets92Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 11 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:48 trades$65.3K trackedsource coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 21 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES · $4.9K net·11 wallets·$9.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYYES$9.9K@ 99¢·Fulgurator

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$79
6h
+$21.0K
tracked
$65.3K

11 verified profitable wallets: YES · $4.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 21 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2027-01-01 04:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: Not supplied by the market
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to “Yes” if Katie Zacharia ceases to be White House Press Secretary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

•If Katie Zacharia has not yet taken office as White House Press Secretary at market creation, this market will also resolve to "Yes" if, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, her appointment is withdrawn or it is announced that she will not take the position.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Katie Zacharia ceases to be White House Press Secretary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Katie Zacharia's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If Katie Zacharia has not yet taken office as White House Press Secretary at market creation, this market will also resolve to "Yes" if, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, her appointment is withdrawn or it is announced that she will not take the position. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Katie Zacharia and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
GlobalMuffin3 linked markets · $73.8K gross
CosmicCedar3 linked markets · $28.8K gross
paddaa3 linked markets · $19.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: NO DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $31 → $34 · 9s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYES · $79
6hYES · $21.0K
24hYES · $28.0K

YES price VWAP

Volume-weighted YES price. NO fills are converted to the complementary YES probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h86.8¢▲ above by 13.2pp
VWAP 7d69.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$45.1K
90¢
$3.4K
85¢
$3.6K
80¢
$1.0K
75¢
$2.0K
70¢
$10
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$14
35¢
$3.4K
30¢
$6.7K
25¢
$25.7K
20¢
$1.4K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.