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Wuhan Tennis Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Nikola Bartunkova

● quote 58s ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $34.1KEvent: Wuhan Tennis Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Nikola Bartunkova
43.5¢
Jasmine Paolini
56.5¢
Nikola Bartunkova
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection75Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets37Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:9 trades$14.9K tracked11% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 47 min agoofficial metadata 7 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Nikola Bartunkova · $8.0K net·2 wallets(1🐋)·$14.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNikola Bartunkova$11.2K@ 57¢·ferrariChampions2026

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Nikola Bartunkova pressure: $11.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$11.2K
6h
−$7.6K
tracked
$14.9K

2 verified profitable wallets: Nikola Bartunkova · $8.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 47 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Nikola Bartunkova or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-21 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jasmine Paolini and Nikola Bartunkova in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jasmine Paolini' if Jasmine Paolini advances against Nikola Bartunkova. This market will resolve to 'Nikola Bartunkova' if Nikola Bartunkova advances against Jasmine Paolini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jasmine Paolini; negative values favor Nikola Bartunkova. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNikola Bartunkova · $11.2K
6hNikola Bartunkova · $7.6K
24hNikola Bartunkova · $7.6K

Jasmine Paolini price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jasmine Paolini price. Nikola Bartunkova fills are converted to the complementary Jasmine Paolini probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current43.5¢
VWAP 24h43.4¢▲ above by 0.1pp
VWAP 7d43.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Jasmine Paolini price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
← now
$14.9K
35¢
$2
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYNikola Bartunkova$11.2K@ 56.6¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Paolini vs. Bartunkova: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Paolini vs. Bartunkova: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Paolini vs. Bartunkova: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Jasmine Paolini vs Nikola Bartunkova
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jasmine Paolini vs. Nikola Bartunkova: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Paolini vs. Bartunkova: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 1 Winner: Jasmine Paolini vs Nikola Bartunkova
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Paolini vs. Bartunkova: Match O/U 22.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ferrariChampions2026Nikola Bartunkova$11.2K
BUY VWAP 56.6¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.