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Santa Cruz 2: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Hugo Dellien

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $115.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $152.9KEvent: Santa Cruz 2: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Hugo Dellien
2.0¢
Rodrigo Pacheco
98.0¢
Hugo Dellien
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection24Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets75Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution79Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority65Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 80%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:70 trades$31.3K trackedsource coverage 20%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Hugo Dellien · $8.2K net·3 wallets·$11.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYRodrigo Pacheco$3.8K@ 34¢·0xacf8…e791

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Hugo Dellien pressure: $7.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$7.5K
6h
−$9.8K
tracked
$31.3K

3 verified profitable wallets: Hugo Dellien · $8.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 80% · priority 65

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Hugo Dellien or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-21 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Rodrigo Pacheco and Hugo Dellien in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rodrigo Pacheco' if Rodrigo Pacheco advances against Hugo Dellien. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Dellien' if Hugo Dellien advances against Rodrigo Pacheco. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $665 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Hugo Dellien UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $16.1K → $4.9K · 16s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Rodrigo Pacheco; negative values favor Hugo Dellien. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHugo Dellien · $7.5K
6hHugo Dellien · $9.8K
24hHugo Dellien · $9.8K

Rodrigo Pacheco price VWAP

Volume-weighted Rodrigo Pacheco price. Hugo Dellien fills are converted to the complementary Rodrigo Pacheco probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current2.0¢
VWAP 24h24.7¢▼ below by 22.7pp
VWAP 7d24.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Rodrigo Pacheco price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$11
40¢
$58
35¢
$3.8K
30¢
$10.1K
25¢
$883
20¢
$6.3K
15¢
$3.8K
10¢
$6.3K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Pacheco vs. Dellien: Match O/U 22.5
0.0¢$100priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pacheco vs. Dellien: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢$66priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Hugo Dellien (-1.5) vs Rodrigo Pacheco (+1.5)
0.0¢$6priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pacheco vs. Dellien: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pacheco vs. Dellien: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Hugo Dellien
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Rodrigo Pacheco vs. Hugo Dellien: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Hugo Dellien (-1.5) vs Rodrigo Pacheco (+1.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.