PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Counter-Strike: ex-Keyd Stars vs Galorys (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: about 5 hoursLiquidity: $19.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $147.2KEvent: Counter-Strike: ex-Keyd Stars vs Galorys (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs
2.5¢
ex-Keyd Stars
97.5¢
Galorys
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets93Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution68Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 70%💡 10 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:146 trades$27.0K trackedsource coverage 18%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 9 min agoofficial metadata 48s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:ex-Keyd Stars · $7.1K net·10 wallets·$7.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYex-Keyd Stars$3.1K@ 33¢·0x29b5…cc6c

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$238
6h
−$7.7K
tracked
$27.0K

10 verified profitable wallets: ex-Keyd Stars · $7.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 70% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 5h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-14 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "ex-Keyd Stars" if ex-Keyd Stars win the match against Galorys.

•This market will resolve to "Galorys" if Galorys win the match against ex-Keyd Stars.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower Bracket Final match between ex-Keyd Stars and Galorys in the ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "ex-Keyd Stars" if ex-Keyd Stars win the match against Galorys. This market will resolve to "Galorys" if Galorys win the match against ex-Keyd Stars. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 27, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x076d…8d4c2 linked markets · $5.4K gross
0x4ed7…316e2 linked markets · $3.0K gross
0xedd7…e9d42 linked markets · $1.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: ex-Keyd Stars DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $1.4K → $253 · 29s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor ex-Keyd Stars; negative values favor Galorys. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hex-Keyd Stars · $238
6hGalorys · $7.7K
24hGalorys · $7.7K

ex-Keyd Stars price VWAP

Volume-weighted ex-Keyd Stars price. Galorys fills are converted to the complementary ex-Keyd Stars probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current2.5¢
VWAP 24h29.5¢▼ below by 27.0pp
VWAP 7d29.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

ex-Keyd Stars price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$102
40¢
$1.9K
35¢
$3.1K
30¢
$7.0K
25¢
$7.4K
20¢
$5.9K
15¢
$1.4K
10¢
$152
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: ex-Keyd Stars vs Galorys - Map 1 Winner
0.1¢$69.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: ex-Keyd Stars vs Galorys - Map 2 Winner
35.5¢$14.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 2.5
0.0¢$3.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map Handicap: GLS (-1.5) vs ex-Keyd Stars (+1.5)
0.0¢$1.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Galorys (-3.5) vs ex-Keyd Stars (+3.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.