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Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

● quote 18s ago
Sports→BaseballCloses: 44 minutesLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $46.5KEvent: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
43.5¢
Los Angeles Dodgers
56.5¢
Milwaukee Brewers
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly46Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets20Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 77%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:7 trades$22.2K tracked14% 🐋source coverage 48%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 28 min agoofficial metadata 8 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMilwaukee Brewers$17.0K@ 57¢·ferrariChampions2026

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$295
6h
−$17.7K
tracked
$22.2K

1 verified profitable wallet: Milwaukee Brewers · $12.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 77% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 28 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-15 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game by 2 or more runs.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for October 14 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20263 linked markets · $35.4K gross
quavoo2 linked markets · $2.5K gross
0xc576…b9d22 linked markets · $2.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Milwaukee Brewers@ 57.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Los Angeles Dodgers; negative values favor Milwaukee Brewers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMilwaukee Brewers · $295
6hMilwaukee Brewers · $17.7K
24hMilwaukee Brewers · $13.4K

Los Angeles Dodgers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers price. Milwaukee Brewers fills are converted to the complementary Los Angeles Dodgers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current43.5¢
VWAP 24h43.0¢▲ above by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d43.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Los Angeles Dodgers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
← now
$22.2K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMilwaukee Brewers$17.0K@ 57.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
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Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5
39.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ferrariChampions2026Milwaukee Brewers$17.0K
BUY VWAP 57.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.