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Indiana vs. Michigan

Sports→American FootballSettlement: IndianaLiquidity: $480.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $94.0KEvent: Indiana vs. Michigan
100.0¢
Indiana payout
0.0¢
Michigan payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYIndiana$74.1K@ 78¢·0x2c33…0563

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Indiana. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-24 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Indiana" if Indiana win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Michigan" if Michigan win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Indiana and Michigan, scheduled for October 24 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Indiana" if Indiana win the game. This market will resolve to "Michigan" if Michigan win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 15d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 15d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

POSITION CHANGEBUY Michigan@ 43.0¢15d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
MARKET SWEEPBUY Indiana@ 81.0¢15d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -7.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Indiana; negative values favor Michigan. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMichigan · $4.0K
6hIndiana · $48.9K
24hIndiana · $59.5K

Indiana price VWAP

Volume-weighted Indiana price. Michigan fills are converted to the complementary Indiana probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h73.06¢▲ above by 26.9pp
VWAP 7d73.06¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Indiana price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$16.2K
90¢
$0
85¢
$3.2K
80¢
$120.3K
75¢
$139.8K
70¢
$173.5K
65¢
$1.8K
60¢
$1.5K
55¢
$104.6K
50¢
$11.8K
45¢
$0
40¢
$4.4K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLIndiana$13.9K@ 82.0¢0xfc08…a137🐋—15 days ago
BUYIndiana$11.0K@ 80.96¢0xfc08…a137🐋—15 days ago
BUYIndiana$27.0K@ 57.0¢
mooseborzoii0x1f3a…895d
🐋—15 days ago
BUYMichigan$10.8K@ 46.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—15 days ago
BUYMichigan$24.5K@ 45.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—15 days ago
BUYMichigan$49.5K@ 45.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—15 days ago
BUYMichigan$38.4K@ 28.0¢
KaneAnalytics0x7e3a…3246
🐋—15 days ago
BUYMichigan$18.4K@ 22.0¢0x6db5…e279🐋—15 days ago
BUYIndiana$44.4K@ 83.0¢
mooseborzoii0x1f3a…895d
🐋—15 days ago
BUYMichigan$31.1K@ 27.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—15 days ago
BUYIndiana$74.1K@ 78.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—15 days ago
BUYMichigan$19.0K@ 27.99¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—15 days ago
BUYIndiana$20.0K@ 80.0¢
iDARKenjoyer0xf68a…5b1b
🐋—15 days ago
BUYIndiana$27.4K@ 74.99¢
mooseborzoii0x1f3a…895d
🐋—15 days ago
BUYIndiana$19.3K@ 77.0¢
iDARKenjoyer0xf68a…5b1b
🐋—15 days ago
BUYIndiana$32.9K@ 74.77¢0x418d…88a3🐋—15 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.