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Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)

● quote 34 min ago
Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $140.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $164.5KEvent: Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group B
99.9¢
FURIA
13.0¢
BetBoom Team
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection12Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:54 trades$74.4K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 55 min agoofficial metadata 40 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:FURIA · $3.8K net·3 wallets·$3.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLFURIA$13.0K@ 100¢·skadii

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

BetBoom Team pressure: $9.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$9.2K
6h
−$26.6K
tracked
$74.4K

3 verified profitable wallets: FURIA · $3.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 34 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 55 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 40 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from BetBoom Team or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-15 01:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA wins 2 or more maps than BetBoom Team in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "BetBoom Team".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between FURIA and BetBoom Team in the Thunderpick World Championship Group B, initially scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA wins 2 or more maps than BetBoom Team in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "BetBoom Team". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 4h ago
DEADLINE CHANGED · 5h ago
DEADLINE CHANGED · 7h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Lakersfan1112 linked markets · $60.3K gross
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f3 linked markets · $37.5K gross
redvinny2 linked markets · $30.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: BetBoom Team DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $16 → $18 · 104s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor FURIA; negative values favor BetBoom Team. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBetBoom Team · $9.2K
6hBetBoom Team · $26.6K
24hBetBoom Team · $20.1K

FURIA price VWAP

Volume-weighted FURIA price. BetBoom Team fills are converted to the complementary FURIA probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h60.4¢▲ above by 39.5pp
VWAP 7d60.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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FURIA price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$22.2K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$2.5K
60¢
$40
55¢
$56
50¢
$0
45¢
$10
40¢
$48.3K
35¢
$500
30¢
$0
25¢
$1.9K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$50
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLFURIA$13.0K@ 99.9¢
skadii0x1c29…167e
🐋—about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group B
0.0¢$657.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
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Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5)
0.0¢$15.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 2.5
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Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
0.0¢$936priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-6.5) vs BetBoom Team (+6.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Lakersfan111BetBoom Team$13.1K
BUY VWAP 57.5¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.