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Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries

● quote 11s ago
Sports→BasketballCloses: about 18 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $35.2KEvent: Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries
43.5¢
Atlanta Dream
56.5¢
Golden State Valkyries
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection100Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%
24h sample:10 trades$14.1K tracked10% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 49 min agoofficial metadata 11 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAtlanta Dream$14.1K@ 43¢·0x0c15…9a45

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Atlanta Dream pressure: $14.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$14.1K
6h
+$14.1K
tracked
$14.1K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 49 minutes old.
  • •Less than 18h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Atlanta Dream or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-17 19:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wnba.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If the Atlanta Dream win, the market will resolve to "Atlanta Dream".

•If the Golden State Valkyries win, the market will resolve to "Golden State Valkyries".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for October 17 at 3:30PM ET: If the Atlanta Dream win, the market will resolve to "Atlanta Dream". If the Golden State Valkyries win, the market will resolve to "Golden State Valkyries". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Atlanta Dream; negative values favor Golden State Valkyries. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAtlanta Dream · $14.1K
6hAtlanta Dream · $14.1K
24hAtlanta Dream · $14.1K

Atlanta Dream price VWAP

Volume-weighted Atlanta Dream price. Golden State Valkyries fills are converted to the complementary Atlanta Dream probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current43.5¢
VWAP 24h43.0¢▲ above by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d42.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Atlanta Dream price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
← now
$24.9K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAtlanta Dream$14.1K@ 43.0¢0x0c15…9a45🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAtlanta Dream$10.8K@ 42.0¢0x0c15…9a45🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x0c15…9a45Atlanta Dream$24.9K
BUY VWAP 42.6¢·10 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.