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Celtics vs. 76ers

● quote just now
Sports→BasketballCloses: about 1 hourLiquidity: $88.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $97.8KEvent: Celtics vs. 76ers
33.5¢
Celtics
66.5¢
76ers
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection94Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets66Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution91Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority85Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:43 trades$39.1K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 9 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:76ers · $302 net·2 wallets·$306 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUY76ers$21.1K@ 64¢·Moneyloverman

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW 76ers SETUP
What the tape says

76ers pressure: $36.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$36.6K
6h
−$36.7K
tracked
$39.1K

2 verified profitable wallets: 76ers · $302 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 85

Since latest large flow: -2.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from 76ers or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-16 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the Celtics win, the market will resolve to "Celtics".

•If the 76ers win, the market will resolve to "76ers".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 16 at 7:00PM ET: If the Celtics win, the market will resolve to "Celtics". If the 76ers win, the market will resolve to "76ers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Moneyloverman3 linked markets · $52.0K gross
purplegatto2 linked markets · $353 gross
UpTheBlues2 linked markets · $307 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY 76ers@ 69.0¢46m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp
MARKET SWEEPBUY 76ers@ 65.0¢55m ago
15m CONFIRMED +3.0pp
Latest book event: 76ers UP 2.5pp · near-book depth $26.6K → $1.8K · 8s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Celtics; negative values favor 76ers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h76ers · $36.6K
6h76ers · $36.7K
24h76ers · $36.8K

Celtics price VWAP

Volume-weighted Celtics price. 76ers fills are converted to the complementary Celtics probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current33.5¢
VWAP 24h35.5¢▼ below by 2.0pp
VWAP 7d35.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Celtics price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$23.6K
30¢
← now
$15.5K
25¢
$8
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUY76ers$13.9K@ 65.7¢
Moneyloverman0x906f…88b4
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUY76ers$21.1K@ 63.6¢
Moneyloverman0x906f…88b4
🐋—about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: 76ers (-5.5)
52.5¢$21.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: 76ers (-4.5)
53.5¢$18.1Kpriority73Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)
0.0¢$6.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 221.5
0.0¢$1.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)
0.0¢$504priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 224.5
0.0¢$153priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
0.0¢$13priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 225.5
0.0¢$0priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Moneyloverman76ers$35.0K
BUY VWAP 64.4¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.