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Raptors vs. Knicks

● quote just now
Sports→BasketballCloses: 17 minutesLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $72.3KEvent: Raptors vs. Knicks
39.5¢
Raptors
60.5¢
Knicks
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection54Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets99Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority77Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 84%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:55 trades$24.8K trackedsource coverage 34%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Knicks · $298 net·3 wallets·$302 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLKnicks$4.3K@ 63¢·martnh23

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Raptors SETUP
What the tape says

Raptors pressure: $13.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$13.3K
6h
+$10.2K
tracked
$24.8K

3 verified profitable wallets: Knicks · $298 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 84% · priority 77

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Raptors or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-15 23:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the Raptors win, the market will resolve to "Raptors".

•If the Knicks win, the market will resolve to "Knicks".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 15 at 7:30PM ET: If the Raptors win, the market will resolve to "Raptors". If the Knicks win, the market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xe907…cff65 linked markets · $3.1K gross
HomeRunHazard5 linked markets · $887 gross
UpTheBlues8 linked markets · $610 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Raptors; negative values favor Knicks. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRaptors · $13.3K
6hRaptors · $10.2K
24hRaptors · $5.2K

Raptors price VWAP

Volume-weighted Raptors price. Knicks fills are converted to the complementary Raptors probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current39.5¢
VWAP 24h36.6¢▲ above by 2.9pp
VWAP 7d36.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Raptors price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$2.3K
35¢
← now
$17.9K
30¢
$4.6K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5
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Spread: Knicks (-5.5)
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Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
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Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5
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Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5
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Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5
0.0¢$1.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 233.5
0.0¢$274priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
0.0¢$251priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.