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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti

Sports→TennisSettlement: Yi ZhouLiquidity: $1.3MOfficial 24h Vol: $1.4MEvent: Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti
100.0¢
Yi Zhou payout
0.0¢
Lorenzo Musetti payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:227 trades$589.5K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 32 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Yi Zhou · $19.2K net·15 wallets·$72.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLorenzo Musetti$46.8K@ 49¢·Eztennis

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Yi Zhou. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-17 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Yi Zhou and Lorenzo Musetti in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yi Zhou' if Yi Zhou advances against Lorenzo Musetti. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Musetti' if Lorenzo Musetti advances against Yi Zhou. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Yi Zhou@ 99.0¢46m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Lorenzo Musetti@ 65.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -9.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Lorenzo Musetti2h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Lorenzo Musetti2h ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Lorenzo Musetti DOWN 5.5pp · near-book depth $6 → $3 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Yi Zhou; negative values favor Lorenzo Musetti. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLorenzo Musetti · $28.6K
6hLorenzo Musetti · $395.0K
24hLorenzo Musetti · $392.8K

Yi Zhou price VWAP

Volume-weighted Yi Zhou price. Lorenzo Musetti fills are converted to the complementary Yi Zhou probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h48.1¢▲ above by 51.9pp
VWAP 7d47.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Yi Zhou price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$26.8K
90¢
$3.9K
85¢
$1.2K
80¢
$3.5K
75¢
$15.5K
70¢
$0
65¢
$1.4K
60¢
$10.2K
55¢
$8.5K
50¢
$139.2K
45¢
$264.5K
40¢
$4.0K
35¢
$7.7K
30¢
$13.1K
25¢
$33.1K
20¢
$26.7K
15¢
$548
10¢
$35.2K
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLYi Zhou$14.3K@ 99.9¢0xafef…f50e🐋—43 minutes ago
BUYLorenzo Musetti$35.2K@ 86.4¢
Lorolorota090x3622…3fac
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLorenzo Musetti$10.0K@ 76.0¢
hurrican0x8718…5040
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLorenzo Musetti$17.5K@ 52.0¢
crazyoddslover0x49f2…506a
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLorenzo Musetti$25.9K@ 51.9¢
crazyoddslover0x49f2…506a
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLorenzo Musetti$27.6K@ 53.8¢
crazyoddslover0x49f2…506a
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLorenzo Musetti$43.7K@ 50.3¢
crazyoddslover0x49f2…506a
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLorenzo Musetti$25.7K@ 51.9¢
crazyoddslover0x49f2…506a
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLorenzo Musetti$38.2K@ 51.7¢
crazyoddslover0x49f2…506a
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLorenzo Musetti$29.5K@ 53.3¢
crazyoddslover0x49f2…506a
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLorenzo Musetti$19.5K@ 54.5¢
Eztennis0x4be1…aa70
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLorenzo Musetti$46.8K@ 48.7¢
Eztennis0x4be1…aa70
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLorenzo Musetti$18.1K@ 50.0¢
Eztennis0x4be1…aa70
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLorenzo Musetti$18.3K@ 49.1¢0x760f…326a🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

crazyoddsloverLorenzo Musetti$208.2K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·7 fills
EztennisLorenzo Musetti$84.3K
BUY VWAP 50.2¢·3 fills
Lorolorota09Lorenzo Musetti$35.2K
BUY VWAP 86.4¢·1 fill
UpTheBluesYi Zhou$21.8K
BUY VWAP 48.1¢·14 fills
0x760f…326aLorenzo Musetti$18.3K
BUY VWAP 49.1¢·1 fill
hurricanLorenzo Musetti$10.0K
BUY VWAP 76.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.