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Hornets vs. Celtics

● quote just now
Sports→BasketballCloses: about 1 hourLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $23.0KEvent: Hornets vs. Celtics
27.5¢
Hornets
72.5¢
Celtics
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection38Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 56%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:13 trades$5.0K trackedsource coverage 23%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 39 min agoofficial metadata 10s ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYHornets$2.1K@ 27¢·0xe156…134b

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Celtics pressure: $1.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.9K
6h
−$760
tracked
$5.0K

1 verified profitable wallet: Hornets · $1 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 56% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 39 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Celtics or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-14 23:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the Hornets win, the market will resolve to "Hornets".

•If the Celtics win, the market will resolve to "Celtics".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 14 at 7:30PM ET: If the Hornets win, the market will resolve to "Hornets". If the Celtics win, the market will resolve to "Celtics". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard4 linked markets · $958 gross
SunlineTicker3 linked markets · $316 gross
Forecastication23 linked markets · $76 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Hornets; negative values favor Celtics. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCeltics · $1.9K
6hCeltics · $760
24hCeltics · $686

Hornets price VWAP

Volume-weighted Hornets price. Celtics fills are converted to the complementary Hornets probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current27.5¢
VWAP 24h25.7¢▲ above by 1.8pp
VWAP 7d25.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Hornets price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$79
25¢
← now
$3.0K
20¢
$1.9K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.