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Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries

Sports→BasketballSettlement: Golden State ValkyriesLiquidity: $322.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $866.2KEvent: Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries
0.0¢
Las Vegas Aces payout
100.0¢
Golden State Valkyries payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Golden State Valkyries · $396.6K net·17 wallets(2🐋)·$401.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYGolden State Valkyries$267.7K@ 77¢·0x2c33…0563

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Golden State Valkyries. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-08 01:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wnba.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If the Las Vegas Aces win, the market will resolve to "Las Vegas Aces".

•If the Golden State Valkyries win, the market will resolve to "Golden State Valkyries".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for October 7 at 9:30PM ET: If the Las Vegas Aces win, the market will resolve to "Las Vegas Aces". If the Golden State Valkyries win, the market will resolve to "Golden State Valkyries". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Las Vegas Aces; negative values favor Golden State Valkyries. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLas Vegas Aces · $479
6hGolden State Valkyries · $389.1K
24hGolden State Valkyries · $389.1K

Las Vegas Aces price VWAP

Volume-weighted Las Vegas Aces price. Golden State Valkyries fills are converted to the complementary Las Vegas Aces probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h23.1¢▼ below by 23.1pp
VWAP 7d23.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Las Vegas Aces price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$3.2K
50¢
$0
45¢
$20.0K
40¢
$11.5K
35¢
$0
30¢
$1.6K
25¢
$337
20¢
$405.7K
15¢
$18.1K
10¢
$10.7K
5¢
$7.5K
0¢
← now
$14.7K

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYGolden State Valkyries$267.7K@ 77.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—1 day ago
BUYGolden State Valkyries$34.0K@ 77.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—1 day ago
BUYGolden State Valkyries$56.0K@ 77.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—1 day ago
BUYLas Vegas Aces$13.4K@ 47.0¢0x0c15…9a45🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563Golden State Valkyries$286.3K
BUY VWAP 76.7¢·7 fills
ferrariChampions2026Golden State Valkyries$90.0K
BUY VWAP 77.0¢·2 fills
0x0c15…9a45Las Vegas Aces$13.4K
BUY VWAP 47.0¢·1 fill
HomeRunHazardGolden State Valkyries$12.1K
BUY VWAP 74.4¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.