PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox

● quote just now
Sports→BaseballCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $164.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $844.9KEvent: Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox
73.5¢
Cleveland Guardians
26.5¢
Chicago White Sox
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection23Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets9Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority51Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 77%💡 15 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:184 trades$391.5K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 46%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Chicago White Sox · $7.5K net·15 wallets(1🐋)·$80.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCleveland Guardians$34.5K@ 78¢·sulumos

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Cleveland Guardians pressure: $92.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$92.0K
6h
+$60.7K
tracked
$391.5K

15 verified profitable wallets: Chicago White Sox · $7.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 77% · priority 51

Since latest accumulation: +9.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable BUY price moved 9.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Cleveland Guardians or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-14 20:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for October 7 at 3:33AM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20264 linked markets · $38.2K gross
HomeRunHazard4 linked markets · $37.5K gross
quavoo3 linked markets · $8.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Cleveland Guardians27m ago
Outcome checks pending
ACCUMULATIONBUY Cleveland Guardians@ 65.0¢30m ago
15m CONFIRMED +9.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Cleveland Guardians@ 80.0¢30m ago
15m INVALIDATED -6.0pp
ANTI CHASEBUY Chicago White Sox1h ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Cleveland Guardians DOWN 10.5pp · near-book depth $5.6K → $18.0K · 13s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Cleveland Guardians; negative values favor Chicago White Sox. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCleveland Guardians · $92.0K
6hCleveland Guardians · $60.7K
24hCleveland Guardians · $10.1K

Cleveland Guardians price VWAP

Volume-weighted Cleveland Guardians price. Chicago White Sox fills are converted to the complementary Cleveland Guardians probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current73.5¢
VWAP 24h52.5¢▲ above by 21.0pp
VWAP 7d52.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Cleveland Guardians price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$32.0K
75¢
$63.8K
70¢
← now
$1.1K
65¢
$1.7K
60¢
$3.5K
55¢
$3.0K
50¢
$11.2K
45¢
$199.4K
40¢
$8.6K
35¢
$21.9K
30¢
$27.9K
25¢
$1.9K
20¢
$16.8K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCleveland Guardians$11.4K@ 82.0¢0x00a5…f151🐋—21 minutes ago
BUYCleveland Guardians$34.5K@ 78.0¢
sulumos0x9db8…2eff
🐋—33 minutes ago
BUYChicago White Sox$16.8K@ 76.0¢0x00a5…f151🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYChicago White Sox$11.1K@ 65.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYChicago White Sox$15.0K@ 54.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYChicago White Sox$25.0K@ 54.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYCleveland Guardians$28.6K@ 47.0¢
Kosherlocks0x8239…d9a3
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYCleveland Guardians$16.4K@ 47.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYChicago White Sox$21.7K@ 53.0¢
Pwaddler0x1d1a…0df6
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYChicago White Sox$32.5K@ 52.0¢
Pwaddler0x1d1a…0df6
🐋—about 7 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$428.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$307.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Nottingham Forest win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$305.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Sunderland win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$296.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dota 2: CyberHero vs Blasterbl - Game 2 Winner
100.0¢$290.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Ipswich Town win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$275.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Leeds United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.3¢$242.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

PwaddlerChicago White Sox$56.3K
BUY VWAP 52.4¢·3 fills
sulumosCleveland Guardians$53.7K
BUY VWAP 78.3¢·4 fills
BrotherObamaChicago White Sox$40.0K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·2 fills
KosherlocksCleveland Guardians$30.1K
BUY VWAP 47.0¢·2 fills
0x00a5…f151Chicago White Sox$16.8K
BUY VWAP 76.0¢·1 fill
0x2c33…0563Cleveland Guardians$16.4K
BUY VWAP 47.0¢·1 fill
HomeRunHazardChicago White Sox$13.8K
BUY VWAP 56.6¢·5 fills
0x2c33…0563Chicago White Sox$12.1K
BUY VWAP 64.4¢·2 fills
0x00a5…f151Cleveland Guardians$11.4K
BUY VWAP 82.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.