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Spread: Pittsburgh (-3.5)

Sports→American FootballSettlement: North CarolinaLiquidity: $75.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $74.9KEvent: North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh
0.0¢
Pittsburgh payout
100.0¢
North Carolina payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNorth Carolina$19.6K@ 49¢·Painfulvoid

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome North Carolina. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-10 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh" if Pittsburgh win the game by 4 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "North Carolina".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 10 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh" if Pittsburgh win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "North Carolina". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Pittsburgh; negative values favor North Carolina. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPittsburgh · $6.2K
6hNorth Carolina · $17.7K
24hNorth Carolina · $17.7K

Pittsburgh price VWAP

Volume-weighted Pittsburgh price. North Carolina fills are converted to the complementary Pittsburgh probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h40.58¢▼ below by 40.6pp
VWAP 7d41.14¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Pittsburgh price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$6
60¢
$0
55¢
$290
50¢
$22.6K
45¢
$1.9K
40¢
$316
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$174
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$6.4K

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYNorth Carolina$19.6K@ 49.0¢
Painfulvoid0xd696…8a49
🐋—29 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.