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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $1.3MOfficial 24h Vol: $544.2KEvent: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
49.5¢
Philadelphia Phillies
50.5¢
Atlanta Braves
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection7Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets98Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority68Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:72 trades$246.7K tracked8% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 10 min agoofficial metadata 46s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Philadelphia Phillies · $143.7K net·4 wallets(3🐋)·$146.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$77.8K@ 51¢·BrotherObama

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Philadelphia Phillies SETUP
What the tape says

Philadelphia Phillies pressure: $17.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$17.0K
6h
+$74.7K
tracked
$246.7K

4 verified profitable wallets: Philadelphia Phillies · $143.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 68

Since latest large flow: -1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Philadelphia Phillies or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-09 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for October 1 at 2:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Philadelphia Phillies@ 51.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Philadelphia Phillies@ 50.0¢9h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Philadelphia Phillies@ 50.0¢9h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED +0.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Philadelphia Phillies@ 50.0¢17h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Philadelphia Phillies; negative values favor Atlanta Braves. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPhiladelphia Phillies · $17.0K
6hPhiladelphia Phillies · $74.7K
24hPhiladelphia Phillies · $173.1K

Philadelphia Phillies price VWAP

Volume-weighted Philadelphia Phillies price. Atlanta Braves fills are converted to the complementary Philadelphia Phillies probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current49.5¢
VWAP 24h50.3¢▼ below by 0.8pp
VWAP 7d50.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Philadelphia Phillies price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$233.7K
45¢
← now
$13.0K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$17.5K@ 50.0¢0x50be…371b🐋—42 minutes ago
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$77.8K@ 51.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$11.6K@ 50.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 8 hours ago
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$25.0K@ 50.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—about 9 hours ago
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$22.0K@ 50.0¢0xc323…0077🐋—about 9 hours ago
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$26.4K@ 50.0¢0xc323…0077🐋—about 17 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

BrotherObamaPhiladelphia Phillies$77.8K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·1 fill
0xc323…0077Philadelphia Phillies$48.5K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·2 fills
SDTradingPhiladelphia Phillies$32.5K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·2 fills
ferrariChampions2026Philadelphia Phillies$18.6K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·3 fills
0x50be…371bPhiladelphia Phillies$17.5K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·1 fill
Zzzz87Atlanta Braves$12.8K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.